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Acute gastroenteritis
WARNING
Rabat-Salé-KénitraICD-10 A09Detected: 07 May 2026, 08:44 UTC
Z-SCORE
2.7
standard deviations above baseline
CONFIDENCE
78%
model certainty score
DETECTION LEAD
-5d
days ahead of clinical reports
PHARMACIES TRIGGERED
89
of 2,100 in region
SIGNAL TIME SERIES — 12 WEEKS
Drug Proxy (Beacon Signal)
Confirmed Cases (lagged)
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DRUG BASKET FINGERPRINT
Signal contribution by drug class
ORS52%
Loperamide31%
Metronidazole17%
PROXY DRUGS
ORSLoperamideMetronidazole
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Regional Alert — Rabat-Salé-Kénitra
The PANOPTES Beacon has detected a statistically significant anomaly in drug purchasing patterns across 89 pharmacies in the Rabat-Salé-Kénitra region. The signal is consistent with early-stage Acute gastroenteritis (A09), with a z-score of 2.7 and model confidence of 78%. This signal leads clinical reporting by approximately 5 days, providing an early-warning window for public health response.
PEAK PROJECTION
18 Jun 2026
Estimated outbreak peak based on proxy signal trajectory
CONFIDENCE INTERVAL±3 days
RESPONSE WINDOW5 days remaining