RSV / Bronchiolitis

WARNING

Fès-MeknèsICD-10 J21Detected: 07 May 2026, 09:30 UTC

Z-SCORE

2.4

standard deviations above baseline

CONFIDENCE

74%

model certainty score

DETECTION LEAD

-6d

days ahead of clinical reports

PHARMACIES TRIGGERED

of 1,500 in region

SIGNAL TIME SERIES — 12 WEEKS

Drug Proxy (Beacon Signal)

Confirmed Cases (lagged)

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DRUG BASKET FINGERPRINT

Signal contribution by drug class

Salbutamol52%

Ipratropium31%

Budesonide17%

PROXY DRUGS

SalbutamolIpratropiumBudesonide

Regional Alert — Fès-Meknès

The PANOPTES Beacon has detected a statistically significant anomaly in drug purchasing patterns across 63 pharmacies in the Fès-Meknès region. The signal is consistent with early-stage RSV / Bronchiolitis (J21), with a z-score of 2.4 and model confidence of 74%. This signal leads clinical reporting by approximately 6 days, providing an early-warning window for public health response.

PEAK PROJECTION

25 Jun 2026

Estimated outbreak peak based on proxy signal trajectory

CONFIDENCE INTERVAL±3 days

RESPONSE WINDOW6 days remaining