Allergic rhinitis

WATCH

Marrakech-SafiICD-10 J30Detected: 07 May 2026, 11:15 UTC

Z-SCORE

1.9

standard deviations above baseline

CONFIDENCE

68%

model certainty score

DETECTION LEAD

-4d

days ahead of clinical reports

PHARMACIES TRIGGERED

of 1,500 in region

SIGNAL TIME SERIES — 12 WEEKS

Drug Proxy (Beacon Signal)

Confirmed Cases (lagged)

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DRUG BASKET FINGERPRINT

Signal contribution by drug class

Loratadine52%

Cetirizine31%

Fluticasone17%

PROXY DRUGS

LoratadineCetirizineFluticasone

Regional Alert — Marrakech-Safi

The PANOPTES Beacon has detected a statistically significant anomaly in drug purchasing patterns across 41 pharmacies in the Marrakech-Safi region. The signal is consistent with early-stage Allergic rhinitis (J30), with a z-score of 1.9 and model confidence of 68%. This signal leads clinical reporting by approximately 4 days, providing an early-warning window for public health response.

PEAK PROJECTION

11 Jun 2026

Estimated outbreak peak based on proxy signal trajectory

CONFIDENCE INTERVAL±3 days

RESPONSE WINDOW4 days remaining