Streptococcal pharyngitis

WATCH

Tanger-Tétouan-Al HoceïmaICD-10 J02Detected: 07 May 2026, 13:00 UTC

Z-SCORE

1.7

standard deviations above baseline

CONFIDENCE

72%

model certainty score

DETECTION LEAD

-7d

days ahead of clinical reports

PHARMACIES TRIGGERED

of 1,500 in region

SIGNAL TIME SERIES — 12 WEEKS

Drug Proxy (Beacon Signal)

Confirmed Cases (lagged)

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DRUG BASKET FINGERPRINT

Signal contribution by drug class

Amoxicillin52%

Azithromycin31%

Ibuprofen17%

PROXY DRUGS

AmoxicillinAzithromycinIbuprofen

Regional Alert — Tanger-Tétouan-Al Hoceïma

The PANOPTES Beacon has detected a statistically significant anomaly in drug purchasing patterns across 28 pharmacies in the Tanger-Tétouan-Al Hoceïma region. The signal is consistent with early-stage Streptococcal pharyngitis (J02), with a z-score of 1.7 and model confidence of 72%. This signal leads clinical reporting by approximately 7 days, providing an early-warning window for public health response.

PEAK PROJECTION

02 Jul 2026

Estimated outbreak peak based on proxy signal trajectory

CONFIDENCE INTERVAL±3 days

RESPONSE WINDOW7 days remaining